Philippines vs Pakistan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Philippinesvs
PakistanThe model puts Philippines at 75%. The model leans toward Philippines. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Pakistan.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Philippines have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pakistan have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Philippines have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Philippines is priced at 1.187.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Philippines at 75%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Pakistan at 10%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Philippines. Philippines is priced at 1.187. The draw is priced at 6.25. Pakistan is priced at 13.1.
Philippines have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Philippines have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Pakistan have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 31% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Philippines or Pakistan?
Our model rates Philippines as the most likely outcome at 75% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Philippines vs Pakistan?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Philippines wins, 0 draws, 0 Pakistan wins.
League table
ASEAN Cup. Division 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Malaysia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:0 | 4 |
| 2 |  Indonesia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:0 | 4 |
| 3 |  Singapore | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Bangladesh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.