CONCACAF Nations League

Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Grenada: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

Saint Kitts and Nevisvs

Grenada

Our predictionGrenada to win

Model score: Medium · 42/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Grenada at 49%. The model leans toward Grenada. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Recent form favours Saint Kitts and Nevis.
+The head-to-head record favours Grenada (2-2-5).

Win probabilities

1 · Saint Kitts and Nevis28%

Draw23%

2 · Grenada49%

1 · Saint Kitts and NevisDraw2 · Grenada

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.42+10.8%

1X2Saint Kitts and Nevis3.59+2.4%

1X2Grenada1.85-0.7%

1X2Draw3.82-1.7%

BTTSYes1.50-10.8%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Saint Kitts and NevisWWLLD

GrenadaLLLLL

Team strength rating

Saint Kitts and Nevis

Grenada

Most likely scorelines

1-112.0%

0-111.7%

1-29.4%

0-29.2%

1-07.6%

0-07.4%

Expected goals

1.03Saint Kitts and Nevis

1.57Grenada

Over 2.5 goals48%

Both teams to score51%

Match DNA

Saint Kitts and Nevis Grenada

Key points

Saint Kitts and Nevis have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Grenada have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Saint Kitts and Nevis have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Grenada is priced at 1.853.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Grenada win1.85Fair (-0.7%)

Double chanceGrenada or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	12	9	5	2
1	8	12	9	5	2
2	4	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Saint Kitts and Nevis at 28%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Grenada at 49%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Grenada. Saint Kitts and Nevis is priced at 3.59. The draw is priced at 3.82. Grenada is priced at 1.853.

Saint Kitts and Nevis have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Grenada have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.

Saint Kitts and Nevis have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Saint Kitts and Nevis are on 2 wins in a row. Grenada have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →