Uzbekistan U23 vs Japan U23: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Uzbekistan U23vs
Japan U23The model puts Japan U23 at 52%. The model leans toward Japan U23. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Uzbekistan U23 have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Japan U23 have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Uzbekistan U23 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Japan U23 is priced at 1.79.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Uzbekistan U23 at 23%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Japan U23 at 52%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Japan U23. Uzbekistan U23 is priced at 4.28. The draw is priced at 3.82. Japan U23 is priced at 1.79.
Uzbekistan U23 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Japan U23 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Uzbekistan U23 have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Uzbekistan U23 are on 5 wins in a row. Japan U23 have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Japan U23 are on 5 wins in a row.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Uzbekistan U23 or Japan U23?
Our model rates Japan U23 as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Uzbekistan U23 vs Japan U23?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 2 Uzbekistan U23 wins, 0 draws, 2 Japan U23 wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.