Suriname vs Martinique: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Surinamevs
MartiniqueThe model puts Suriname at 58%. The model leans toward Suriname. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Suriname have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Martinique have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Suriname have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Suriname is priced at 1.57.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Suriname at 58%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Martinique at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Suriname. Suriname is priced at 1.57. The draw is priced at 3.72. Martinique is priced at 5.75.
Suriname have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Martinique have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Suriname have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Martinique have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Suriname or Martinique?
Our model rates Suriname as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Suriname vs Martinique?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Suriname wins, 3 draws, 2 Martinique wins.
League table
CONCACAF Nations League. League A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Curacao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Haiti | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Dominican Republic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Costa Rica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 5 |  Trinidad and Tobago | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 6 |  Nicaragua | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.