Guadeloupe vs Barbados: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Guadeloupevs
BarbadosThe model puts Guadeloupe at 69%. The model leans toward Guadeloupe. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Guadeloupe (3-0-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Guadeloupe have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Barbados have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Guadeloupe have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Guadeloupe is priced at 1.35.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Guadeloupe at 69%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Barbados at 10%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Guadeloupe. Guadeloupe is priced at 1.35. The draw is priced at 4.45. Barbados is priced at 8.75.
Guadeloupe have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Guadeloupe have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Barbados have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Guadeloupe or Barbados?
Our model rates Guadeloupe as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Guadeloupe vs Barbados?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 3 Guadeloupe wins, 0 draws, 0 Barbados wins.
League table
CONCACAF Nations League. League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guyana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Dominica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 |  Cayman Islands | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 |  Puerto Rico | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.