Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Osakavs
Avispa FukuokaThe model puts Avispa Fukuoka at 61%. The model leans toward Avispa Fukuoka. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Osaka have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Avispa Fukuoka have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Osaka have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Avispa Fukuoka is priced at 1.5.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | |||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Osaka at 17%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Avispa Fukuoka at 61%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Avispa Fukuoka. Osaka is priced at 5.72. The draw is priced at 4.2. Avispa Fukuoka is priced at 1.5.
Osaka have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Osaka have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Avispa Fukuoka have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Osaka or Avispa Fukuoka?
Our model rates Avispa Fukuoka as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Osaka wins, 0 draws, 0 Avispa Fukuoka wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.