Deportes Puerto Montt vs Colo-Colo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Deportes Puerto Monttvs
Colo-ColoThe model puts Colo-Colo at 66%. The model leans toward Colo-Colo. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Colo-Colo.
- +The head-to-head record favours Colo-Colo (2-0-11).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Deportes Puerto Montt have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Colo-Colo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Deportes Puerto Montt have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Colo-Colo is priced at 1.496.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Deportes Puerto Montt at 15%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Colo-Colo at 66%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Colo-Colo. Deportes Puerto Montt is priced at 6.05. The draw is priced at 4.56. Colo-Colo is priced at 1.496.
Deportes Puerto Montt have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Colo-Colo have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings.
Deportes Puerto Montt have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Colo-Colo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 54% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Deportes Puerto Montt or Colo-Colo?
Our model rates Colo-Colo as the most likely outcome at 66% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Deportes Puerto Montt vs Colo-Colo?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 13 meetings: 2 Deportes Puerto Montt wins, 0 draws, 11 Colo-Colo wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.