Sporting Alcazar vs CP Talayuela: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sporting Alcazarvs
CP TalayuelaThe model puts Sporting Alcazar at 58%. The model puts CP Talayuela at 19%. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Sporting Alcazar.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sporting Alcazar have 1 wins in their last 1 matches.
- CP Talayuela have 0 wins in their last 1 matches.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
- Sporting Alcazar is priced at 1.69.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
Sporting Alcazar have 1 wins in their last 1 matches. CP Talayuela have 0 wins in their last 1 matches.
The model puts Sporting Alcazar at 58%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts CP Talayuela at 19%.
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Sporting Alcazar is priced at 1.69. CP Talayuela is priced at 4.8.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sporting Alcazar or CP Talayuela?
Our model rates Sporting Alcazar as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sporting Alcazar vs CP Talayuela?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Sporting Alcazar wins, 0 draws, 1 CP Talayuela wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.