← All predictions
Uruguay. Primera Divisional C

Sportivo Bella Italia vs C.A. Bella Vista: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Sportivo Bella Italia Sportivo Bella ItaliavsC.A. Bella Vista C.A. Bella Vista
Our predictionC.A. Bella Vista to win
Model score: Low · 16/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts C.A. Bella Vista at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Sportivo Bella Italia30%
Draw27%
2 · C.A. Bella Vista43%
1 · Sportivo Bella ItaliaDraw2 · C.A. Bella Vista
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Over 2.52.20+9.9%
BTTSYes1.87+7.4%
1X2Sportivo Bella Italia3.24+0.6%
1X2Draw3.42-0.2%
1X2C.A. Bella Vista2.20-0.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Most likely scorelines

1-111.9%
0-19.2%
1-28.9%
1-07.9%
2-17.6%
0-26.9%
Team strength rating
Sportivo Bella Italia
48
C.A. Bella Vista
70

Recent form

Sportivo Bella Italia
C.A. Bella VistaWWW

Expected goals

1.29Sportivo Bella Italia
xG
1.51C.A. Bella Vista
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score56%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Sportivo Bella Italia C.A. Bella Vista

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2C.A. Bella Vista win2.20Fair
Double chanceC.A. Bella Vista or draw—Info
Total goalsOver 2.52.20Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
069731
1812942
258631
32321
41
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Sportivo Bella Italia at 30%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts C.A. Bella Vista at 43%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward C.A. Bella Vista. Sportivo Bella Italia is priced at 3.24. The draw is priced at 3.42. C.A. Bella Vista is priced at 2.2.

C.A. Bella Vista have 3 wins in their last 3 matches. C.A. Bella Vista are on 3 wins in a row.

The model gives 56% for both teams to score. The model gives 53% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Sportivo Bella Italia or C.A. Bella Vista?

Our model rates C.A. Bella Vista as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Sportivo Bella Italia vs C.A. Bella Vista?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.613.232.852.462.08
Home 3.24 Draw 3.42 Away 2.20

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.