Wuxi Wugou vs Ningbo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Wuxi Wugouvs
NingboThe model puts Wuxi Wugou at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Ningbo.
- +The head-to-head record favours Wuxi Wugou (3-1-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Wuxi Wugou have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ningbo have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Wuxi Wugou have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Wuxi Wugou is priced at 2.07.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Wuxi Wugou at 43%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Ningbo at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Wuxi Wugou. Wuxi Wugou is priced at 2.07. The draw is priced at 3.1. Ningbo is priced at 3.29.
Wuxi Wugou have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Ningbo have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Wuxi Wugou have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Ningbo have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Ningbo are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Wuxi Wugou or Ningbo?
Our model rates Wuxi Wugou as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Wuxi Wugou vs Ningbo?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 3 Wuxi Wugou wins, 1 draws, 1 Ningbo wins.
Odds movement
League table
China. League One| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guangdong GZ-Power | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 48:20 | 54 |
| 2 |  Guangxi Hengchen | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 40:26 | 45 |
| 3 |  Shenzhen Juniors | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 39:25 | 44 |
| 4 |  Nantong Zhiyun | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 33:20 | 42 |
| 5 |  Shaanxi Union | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 36 |
| 6 |  Yanbian Longding | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 35 |
| 7 |  Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 22:25 | 31 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugou | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 35:29 | 29 |
| 9 | Ningbo | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 27:29 | 29 |
| 10 |  Changchun Yatai | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 37:40 | 29 |
| 11 |  Dalian Kun City | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 30:36 | 29 |
| 12 |  Suzhou Dongwu | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28:33 | 26 |
| 13 |  Jiangxi Dingnan United | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 35:46 | 23 |
| 14 |  Nanjing City | 24 | 5 | 13 | 6 | 20:33 | 21 |
| 15 |  Meizhou Hakka | 24 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 25:50 | 21 |
| 16 |  Foshan Nanshi | 24 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 24:49 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.