Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bosnia and Herzegovinavs
PolandThe model puts Poland at 42%. The model puts Bosnia and Herzegovina at 31%. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Bosnia and Herzegovina.
- −The head-to-head record favours Bosnia and Herzegovina (4-2-0).
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The model sees this as a close contest.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Poland have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Poland at 42%. The model puts Bosnia and Herzegovina at 31%. The model puts the draw at 27%.
Bosnia and Herzegovina have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Bosnia and Herzegovina have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Poland have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bosnia and Herzegovina or Poland?
Our model rates Poland as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Bosnia and Herzegovina wins, 2 draws, 0 Poland wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.