Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bosnia and Herzegovinavs
PolandThe model puts Poland at 46%. The model leans toward Poland. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Bosnia and Herzegovina.
- −The head-to-head record favours Bosnia and Herzegovina (4-2-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Bosnia and Herzegovina have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Poland have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Poland is priced at 2.1.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Bosnia and Herzegovina at 28%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Poland at 46%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Poland. Bosnia and Herzegovina is priced at 3.46. The draw is priced at 3.46. Poland is priced at 2.1.
Bosnia and Herzegovina have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Bosnia and Herzegovina have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Poland have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bosnia and Herzegovina or Poland?
Our model rates Poland as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Bosnia and Herzegovina wins, 2 draws, 0 Poland wins.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Slovenia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:0 | 4 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 4 |  Republic of North Macedonia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.