Ukraine vs Hungary: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ukrainevs
HungaryThe model puts Hungary at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Hungary.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The model sees this as a close contest.
- Hungary have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ukraine have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hungary is priced at 2.736.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hungary at 37%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Ukraine at 32%.
Hungary have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Ukraine have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 53% for both teams to score.
Hungary is priced at 2.736. Ukraine is priced at 2.816. The draw is priced at 3.01.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ukraine or Hungary?
Our model rates Hungary as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ukraine vs Hungary?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Ukraine wins, 0 draws, 1 Hungary wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.