Republic of North Macedonia vs Scotland: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Republic of North Macedoniavs
ScotlandThe model puts Scotland at 54%. The model leans toward Scotland. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Scotland (1-1-2).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Republic of North Macedonia have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Scotland have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Republic of North Macedonia have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Scotland is priced at 1.775.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Republic of North Macedonia at 20%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Scotland at 54%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Scotland. Republic of North Macedonia is priced at 4.8. The draw is priced at 3.56. Scotland is priced at 1.775.
Republic of North Macedonia have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Scotland have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Republic of North Macedonia have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Scotland have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Republic of North Macedonia or Scotland?
Our model rates Scotland as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Republic of North Macedonia vs Scotland?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 1 Republic of North Macedonia wins, 1 draws, 2 Scotland wins.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Slovenia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:0 | 4 |
| 3 | Scotland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 4 | Republic of North Macedonia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.