Republic of Ireland vs Israel: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Republic of Irelandvs
IsraelThe model puts Republic of Ireland at 49%. The model leans toward Republic of Ireland. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Republic of Ireland.
- −The head-to-head record favours Israel (0-2-1).
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Republic of Ireland have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Israel have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Republic of Ireland is priced at 2.005.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Republic of Ireland at 49%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Israel at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Republic of Ireland. Republic of Ireland is priced at 2.005. The draw is priced at 3.46. Israel is priced at 3.76.
Israel have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Republic of Ireland have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Israel have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Republic of Ireland or Israel?
Our model rates Republic of Ireland as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Republic of Ireland vs Israel?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 0 Republic of Ireland wins, 2 draws, 1 Israel wins.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Scotland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 |  Slovenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 |  Republic of North Macedonia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.