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MSG Prime Minister's Cup. Women

Papua New Guinea (Women) vs Solomon Islands (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Papua New Guinea (Women) Papua New Guinea (Women)vsSolomon Islands (Women) Solomon Islands (Women)
Our predictionPapua New Guinea (Women) to win
Model score: Medium · 50/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Papua New Guinea (Women) at 68%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Papua New Guinea (Women)68%
Draw19%
2 · Solomon Islands (Women)13%
1 · Papua New Guinea (Women)Draw2 · Solomon Islands (Women)
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Over 2.51.45+3.4%
1X2Papua New Guinea (Women)1.34+0.3%
1X2Solomon Islands (Women)6.78-0.1%
1X2Draw4.65-0.2%
O/U 2.5Under 2.52.41-3.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.68Papua New Guinea (Women)
xG
0.71Solomon Islands (Women)
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score48%
Team strength rating
Papua New Guinea (Women)
71
Solomon Islands (Women)
38

Most likely scorelines

2-012.1%
3-010.8%
1-09.0%
2-18.6%
3-17.7%
4-07.2%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Papua New Guinea (Women) Solomon Islands (Women)

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Papua New Guinea (Women) win1.34Fair
Total goalsOver 2.51.45Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
032
1962
21293
31183
4752
543

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Papua New Guinea (Women) at 68%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Solomon Islands (Women) at 13%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Papua New Guinea (Women). Papua New Guinea (Women) is priced at 1.34. The draw is priced at 4.65. Solomon Islands (Women) is priced at 6.78.

The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 66% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Papua New Guinea (Women) or Solomon Islands (Women)?

Our model rates Papua New Guinea (Women) as the most likely outcome at 68% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Papua New Guinea (Women) vs Solomon Islands (Women)?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.