Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tochigi Cityvs
Sanfrecce HiroshimaThe model puts Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 73%. The model leans toward Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Tochigi City have 0 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima is priced at 1.26.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 22 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Tochigi City at 10%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 73%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Tochigi City is priced at 9.6. The draw is priced at 5.5. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is priced at 1.26.
Tochigi City have 0 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 18% for both teams to score. The model gives 19% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tochigi City or Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our model rates Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the most likely outcome at 73% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.