Fukushima United vs Mito HollyHock: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Fukushima Unitedvs
Mito HollyHockThe model puts Mito HollyHock at 70%. The model leans toward Mito HollyHock. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Fukushima United have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Mito HollyHock is priced at 1.31.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Fukushima United at 13%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Mito HollyHock at 70%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Mito HollyHock. Fukushima United is priced at 7.85. The draw is priced at 5.3. Mito HollyHock is priced at 1.31.
Fukushima United have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 33% for both teams to score. The model gives 39% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Fukushima United or Mito HollyHock?
Our model rates Mito HollyHock as the most likely outcome at 70% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Fukushima United vs Mito HollyHock?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.