Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Nagoya Grampus: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Giravanz Kitakyushuvs
Nagoya GrampusThe model puts Nagoya Grampus at 71%. The model leans toward Nagoya Grampus. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Nagoya Grampus.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Giravanz Kitakyushu have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nagoya Grampus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Giravanz Kitakyushu have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Nagoya Grampus is priced at 1.31.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Giravanz Kitakyushu at 11%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Nagoya Grampus at 71%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Nagoya Grampus. Giravanz Kitakyushu is priced at 8.35. The draw is priced at 5.1. Nagoya Grampus is priced at 1.31.
Giravanz Kitakyushu have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Giravanz Kitakyushu have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Nagoya Grampus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Giravanz Kitakyushu or Nagoya Grampus?
Our model rates Nagoya Grampus as the most likely outcome at 71% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Nagoya Grampus?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Giravanz Kitakyushu wins, 0 draws, 0 Nagoya Grampus wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.