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Japan. Nabisco Cup

Ehime vs Tokyo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Ehime EhimevsTokyo Tokyo
Our predictionTokyo to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 0-2

The model puts Tokyo at 73%. The model leans toward Tokyo. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Ehime10%
Draw17%
2 · Tokyo73%
1 · EhimeDraw2 · Tokyo
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.85+15.2%
1X2Ehime9.25+0.4%
1X2Tokyo1.28+0.3%
1X2Draw5.25-0.8%
BTTSYes1.85-15.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Ehime
34
Tokyo
88

Recent form

EhimeDWLWW
TokyoWWWDW

Most likely scorelines

0-216.2%
0-116.1%
0-310.8%
1-28.3%
1-18.3%
0-08.1%

Expected goals

0.52Ehime
xG
2.00Tokyo
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score35%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Ehime Tokyo

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Tokyo win1.28Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0816161152
1488631
21221
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Ehime at 10%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Tokyo at 73%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.

The market leans toward Tokyo. Ehime is priced at 9.25. The draw is priced at 5.25. Tokyo is priced at 1.28.

Tokyo have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Ehime have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Tokyo have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Tokyo are on 3 wins in a row.

The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Ehime or Tokyo?

Our model rates Tokyo as the most likely outcome at 73% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Ehime vs Tokyo?

A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings: 0 Ehime wins, 1 draws, 1 Tokyo wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.