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Japan. Nabisco Cup

Roasso Kumamoto vs Kawasaki Frontale: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Roasso Kumamoto Roasso KumamotovsKawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
Our predictionKawasaki Frontale to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Kawasaki Frontale at 71%. The model leans toward Kawasaki Frontale. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Roasso Kumamoto12%
Draw17%
2 · Kawasaki Frontale71%
1 · Roasso KumamotoDraw2 · Kawasaki Frontale
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.90+14.1%
1X2Kawasaki Frontale1.32+0.4%
1X2Roasso Kumamoto7.95+0.4%
1X2Draw5.10-0.8%
BTTSYes1.81-14.1%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Roasso Kumamoto
36
Kawasaki Frontale
80

Recent form

Roasso KumamotoDWLLL
Kawasaki FrontaleWDWDL

Most likely scorelines

0-115.7%
0-215.4%
0-310.0%
1-18.9%
1-28.7%
0-08.0%

Expected goals

0.57Roasso Kumamoto
xG
1.96Kawasaki Frontale
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score37%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Roasso Kumamoto Kawasaki Frontale

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Kawasaki Frontale win1.32Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0816151052
1599631
21322
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Roasso Kumamoto at 12%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Kawasaki Frontale at 71%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Kawasaki Frontale. Roasso Kumamoto is priced at 7.95. The draw is priced at 5.1. Kawasaki Frontale is priced at 1.32.

Roasso Kumamoto have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Roasso Kumamoto have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Kawasaki Frontale have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 37% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Roasso Kumamoto or Kawasaki Frontale?

Our model rates Kawasaki Frontale as the most likely outcome at 71% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Roasso Kumamoto vs Kawasaki Frontale?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 1 Roasso Kumamoto wins, 0 draws, 0 Kawasaki Frontale wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.