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Japan. Nabisco Cup

Zweigen Kanazawa vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Zweigen Kanazawa Zweigen KanazawavsShimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse
Our predictionShimizu S-Pulse to win
Model score: High · 61/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Shimizu S-Pulse at 52%. The model leans toward Shimizu S-Pulse. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Zweigen Kanazawa24%
Draw24%
2 · Shimizu S-Pulse52%
1 · Zweigen KanazawaDraw2 · Shimizu S-Pulse
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.19+8.1%
1X2Shimizu S-Pulse1.81+0.7%
1X2Zweigen Kanazawa3.91+0.1%
1X2Draw3.68-0.8%
BTTSYes1.60-8.1%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Zweigen KanazawaWLDWW
Shimizu S-PulseWWLDL
Team strength rating
Zweigen Kanazawa
44
Shimizu S-Pulse
77

Most likely scorelines

0-112.2%
1-112.0%
0-29.6%
1-29.5%
0-07.7%
1-07.6%

Expected goals

0.98Zweigen Kanazawa
xG
1.58Shimizu S-Pulse
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score50%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Zweigen Kanazawa Shimizu S-Pulse

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Shimizu S-Pulse win1.81Fair (+0.7%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
08121052
1812952
24652
3122
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Zweigen Kanazawa at 24%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Shimizu S-Pulse at 52%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Shimizu S-Pulse. Zweigen Kanazawa is priced at 3.91. The draw is priced at 3.68. Shimizu S-Pulse is priced at 1.81.

Shimizu S-Pulse have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.

Zweigen Kanazawa have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Shimizu S-Pulse have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Shimizu S-Pulse are on 2 wins in a row.

The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Zweigen Kanazawa or Shimizu S-Pulse?

Our model rates Shimizu S-Pulse as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Zweigen Kanazawa vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 5 meetings: 0 Zweigen Kanazawa wins, 0 draws, 5 Shimizu S-Pulse wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

4.113.512.912.321.72
Home 3.91 Draw 3.68 Away 1.81

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.