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Japan. Nabisco Cup

Fujieda MYFC vs Cerezo Osaka: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFCvsCerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
Our predictionCerezo Osaka to win
Model score: Medium · 38/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Cerezo Osaka at 57%. The model leans toward Cerezo Osaka. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Fujieda MYFC19%
Draw23%
2 · Cerezo Osaka57%
1 · Fujieda MYFCDraw2 · Cerezo Osaka
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.98+22.5%
1X2Fujieda MYFC5.02+0.7%
1X2Draw3.92-0.2%
1X2Cerezo Osaka1.60-0.5%
BTTSYes1.74-22.5%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

0.58Fujieda MYFC
xG
1.18Cerezo Osaka
Over 2.5 goals26%
Both teams to score31%
Team strength rating
Fujieda MYFC
37
Cerezo Osaka
65

Most likely scorelines

0-120.2%
0-017.1%
0-211.9%
1-111.8%
1-010.0%
1-27.0%

Recent form

Fujieda MYFCDLDL
Cerezo Osaka

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Fujieda MYFC Cerezo Osaka

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Cerezo Osaka win1.60Fair (-0.5%)
Double chanceCerezo Osaka or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
017201251
1101273
2332
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Fujieda MYFC at 19%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Cerezo Osaka at 57%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Cerezo Osaka. Fujieda MYFC is priced at 5.02. The draw is priced at 3.92. Cerezo Osaka is priced at 1.6.

Fujieda MYFC have 0 wins in their last 4 matches.

The model gives 31% for both teams to score. The model gives 26% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Fujieda MYFC or Cerezo Osaka?

Our model rates Cerezo Osaka as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Fujieda MYFC vs Cerezo Osaka?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

5.274.333.402.461.52
Home 5.02 Draw 3.92 Away 1.60

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.