Kataller Toyama vs Urawa Red Diamonds: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kataller Toyamavs
Urawa Red DiamondsThe model puts Urawa Red Diamonds at 53%. The model leans toward Urawa Red Diamonds. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Urawa Red Diamonds.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kataller Toyama have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Urawa Red Diamonds have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kataller Toyama have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Urawa Red Diamonds is priced at 1.77.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kataller Toyama at 23%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Urawa Red Diamonds at 53%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Urawa Red Diamonds. Kataller Toyama is priced at 3.955. The draw is priced at 3.82. Urawa Red Diamonds is priced at 1.77.
Kataller Toyama have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Kataller Toyama have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Urawa Red Diamonds have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kataller Toyama or Urawa Red Diamonds?
Our model rates Urawa Red Diamonds as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kataller Toyama vs Urawa Red Diamonds?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Kataller Toyama wins, 0 draws, 0 Urawa Red Diamonds wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.