Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Consadole Sapporovs
Fagiano OkayamaThe model puts Fagiano Okayama at 62%. The model leans toward Fagiano Okayama. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Fagiano Okayama.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Consadole Sapporo have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fagiano Okayama have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Consadole Sapporo have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Fagiano Okayama is priced at 1.48.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Consadole Sapporo at 17%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Fagiano Okayama at 62%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Fagiano Okayama. Consadole Sapporo is priced at 5.57. The draw is priced at 4.45. Fagiano Okayama is priced at 1.48.
Consadole Sapporo have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Fagiano Okayama have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Consadole Sapporo have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Fagiano Okayama have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Consadole Sapporo or Fagiano Okayama?
Our model rates Fagiano Okayama as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 12 meetings: 4 Consadole Sapporo wins, 3 draws, 5 Fagiano Okayama wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.