East Timor vs Cambodia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
East Timorvs
CambodiaThe model puts Cambodia at 64%. The model leans toward Cambodia. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Cambodia.
- −The head-to-head record favours East Timor (6-1-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- East Timor have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cambodia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- East Timor have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Cambodia is priced at 1.42.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts East Timor at 17%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Cambodia at 64%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Cambodia. East Timor is priced at 6.63. The draw is priced at 4.45. Cambodia is priced at 1.42.
East Timor have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Cambodia have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
East Timor have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Cambodia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, East Timor or Cambodia?
Our model rates Cambodia as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for East Timor vs Cambodia?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings: 6 East Timor wins, 1 draws, 1 Cambodia wins.
League table
ASEAN Cup. Division 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hong Kong | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Laos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 3 |  Brunei | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.