Arabian Gulf Cup

Oman vs Kuwait: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

Omanvs

Kuwait

Our predictionOman to win

Model score: Medium · 46/100

Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Oman at 51%. The model leans toward Oman. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−The head-to-head record favours Kuwait (1-4-9).

Win probabilities

1 · Oman51%

Draw24%

2 · Kuwait25%

1 · OmanDraw2 · Kuwait

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Over 2.52.05+2.7%

1X2Kuwait4.22+2.6%

BTTSYes1.92+1.3%

1X2Draw3.74-1.1%

BTTSNo1.77-1.3%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

OmanWLWDL

KuwaitWDLLL

Team strength rating

Oman

Kuwait

Most likely scorelines

1-012.3%

1-111.3%

2-010.6%

2-19.7%

0-07.2%

0-16.6%

Expected goals

1.71Oman

0.92Kuwait

Over 2.5 goals49%

Both teams to score49%

Match DNA

Oman Kuwait

Key points

Oman have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Kuwait have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Oman have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Oman is priced at 1.82.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Oman win1.82Fair (-1.5%)

Double chanceOman or draw—Info

Total goalsUnder 2.51.77Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	7	7	3
1	12	11	5	2
2	11	10	4	1
3	6	6	3
4	3	2	1
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Oman at 51%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Kuwait at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Oman. Oman is priced at 1.82. The draw is priced at 3.74. Kuwait is priced at 4.22.

Oman have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Kuwait have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.

Oman have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Kuwait have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →