Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs North East United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Mohun Bagan Super Giantvs
North East UnitedThe model puts Mohun Bagan Super Giant at 62%. The model leans toward Mohun Bagan Super Giant. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Mohun Bagan Super Giant (11-1-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Mohun Bagan Super Giant have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- North East United have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Mohun Bagan Super Giant have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Mohun Bagan Super Giant is priced at 1.49.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Mohun Bagan Super Giant at 62%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts North East United at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Mohun Bagan Super Giant. Mohun Bagan Super Giant is priced at 1.49. The draw is priced at 3.74. North East United is priced at 5.88.
Mohun Bagan Super Giant have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings. North East United have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Mohun Bagan Super Giant have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. North East United have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Mohun Bagan Super Giant or North East United?
Our model rates Mohun Bagan Super Giant as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs North East United?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 11 Mohun Bagan Super Giant wins, 1 draws, 3 North East United wins.
Odds movement
League table
India. IFA Shield Tournament| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Punjab FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  East Bengal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Calcutta Customs | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:10 | 0 |
| 4 |  Mohammedan Kolkata II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.