Atletico Balboa vs CD Cacahuatique: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Atletico Balboavs
CD CacahuatiqueThe model puts Atletico Balboa at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Atletico Balboa have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CD Cacahuatique have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Atletico Balboa have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Atletico Balboa is priced at 2.26.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Atletico Balboa at 43%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts CD Cacahuatique at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Atletico Balboa is priced at 2.26. The draw is priced at 3.48. CD Cacahuatique is priced at 3.09.
Atletico Balboa have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Atletico Balboa have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. CD Cacahuatique have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 41% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Atletico Balboa or CD Cacahuatique?
Our model rates Atletico Balboa as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Atletico Balboa vs CD Cacahuatique?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Atletico Balboa wins, 0 draws, 0 CD Cacahuatique wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
El Salvador. Primera Division - Apertura| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FAS | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 2 |  Isidro Metapan | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 23 |
| 3 |  C.D. Luis Angel Firpo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:7 | 21 |
| 4 |  Inter Santa Tecla | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17:9 | 21 |
| 5 |  C.D. Municipal Limeno | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 17 |
| 6 |  Alianza San Salvador | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 7 |  Aguila | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 8 | Atletico Balboa | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | 13 |
| 9 |  CD Platense Zacatecoluca | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | 13 |
| 10 |  INCA Aruba | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9:21 | 12 |
| 11 | CD Cacahuatique | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11:20 | 8 |
| 12 |  Fuerte San Francisco | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8:19 | 8 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.