Misr Insurance vs Al-Shanwani: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Misr Insurancevs
Al-ShanwaniThe model puts Misr Insurance at 61%. The model leans toward Misr Insurance. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Misr Insurance have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Misr Insurance is priced at 1.56.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 24 | 10 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 6 | 2 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Misr Insurance at 61%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Al-Shanwani at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Misr Insurance. Misr Insurance is priced at 1.56. The draw is priced at 4.06. Al-Shanwani is priced at 6.
Misr Insurance have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 22% for both teams to score. The model gives 21% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Misr Insurance or Al-Shanwani?
Our model rates Misr Insurance as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Misr Insurance vs Al-Shanwani?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.