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CONCACAF Nations League

French Guiana vs Sint Maarten: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

French Guiana French GuianavsSint Maarten Sint Maarten
Our predictionFrench Guiana to win
Model score: Low · 33/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts French Guiana at 50%. The model leans toward French Guiana. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · French Guiana50%
Draw24%
2 · Sint Maarten26%
1 · French GuianaDraw2 · Sint Maarten
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Sint Maarten3.92+2.7%
1X2Draw3.80-0.8%
1X2French Guiana1.78-1.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
French Guiana
49
Sint Maarten
43

Most likely scorelines

1-012.0%
1-111.8%
2-09.6%
2-19.5%
0-07.4%
0-17.3%

Recent form

French GuianaLDLLL
Sint MaartenLDWWD

Expected goals

1.61French Guiana
xG
0.99Sint Maarten
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score50%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
French Guiana Sint Maarten

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2French Guiana win1.78Fair (-1.8%)
Double chanceFrench Guiana or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07741
1121262
2101052
3553
4221
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

French Guiana have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Sint Maarten have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

French Guiana have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

French Guiana is priced at 1.78. Sint Maarten is priced at 3.925. The market leans toward French Guiana.

The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, French Guiana or Sint Maarten?

Our model rates French Guiana as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for French Guiana vs Sint Maarten?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 1 French Guiana wins, 0 draws, 0 Sint Maarten wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

4.663.893.122.351.59
Home 1.78 Draw 3.80 Away 3.92

League table

CONCACAF Nations League. League B
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Guyana22003:06
2Puerto Rico21102:13
3Dominica20110:21
4Cayman Islands20110:21
Promotion Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.