United Arab Emirates vs Qatar: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
United Arab Emiratesvs
QatarThe model puts United Arab Emirates at 47%. The model leans toward United Arab Emirates. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Qatar (4-4-7).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- United Arab Emirates have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Qatar have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- United Arab Emirates have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- United Arab Emirates is priced at 1.99.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts United Arab Emirates at 47%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Qatar at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward United Arab Emirates. United Arab Emirates is priced at 1.99. The draw is priced at 3.88. Qatar is priced at 3.4.
United Arab Emirates have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Qatar have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
United Arab Emirates have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Qatar have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 57% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, United Arab Emirates or Qatar?
Our model rates United Arab Emirates as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for United Arab Emirates vs Qatar?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 4 United Arab Emirates wins, 4 draws, 7 Qatar wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Match statistics
United Arab Emirates
- 1Al-Meqebaali
- 4Ivkovic S.
- 6Akonnor
- 7Saleh Al.
- 9Suhail H.A.
- 10Lima F
- 12Alhammadi K.
- 14Hamad Town
- 18Pereira L.M.
- 19Ebraheim Kh.
- 23Adil Khan
Qatar
- 1Abunada M. I.
- 2Miguel P.
- 5Salman T.
- 8Junior E.
- 13Al-Oui
- 14Ahmed
- 15Abdulsallam
- 17Alganehi A.
- 19Almoez
- 20Fathi A.
- 26Al Mannai
League table
Arabian Gulf Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 |  Oman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 3 |  Iraq | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 4 |  Kuwait | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.