Zlin vs Slavia Prague: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Slavia Prague at 76%. The model leans toward Slavia Prague. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Slavia Prague.
- +The head-to-head record favours Slavia Prague (1-2-12).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Zlin have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Slavia Prague have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Zlin have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Slavia Prague is priced at 1.23.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 3 |
| 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Zlin at 9%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Slavia Prague at 76%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Slavia Prague. Zlin is priced at 10.7. The draw is priced at 5.75. Slavia Prague is priced at 1.23.
Zlin have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Slavia Prague have won 12 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Zlin have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Slavia Prague have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Slavia Prague are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 31% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Zlin or Slavia Prague?
Our model rates Slavia Prague as the most likely outcome at 76% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Zlin vs Slavia Prague?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 1 Zlin wins, 2 draws, 12 Slavia Prague wins.
League table
Czech Republic. Chance Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 25:6 | 23 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13:4 | 20 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 17 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:15 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:12 | 16 | |
| 7 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 18:12 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | 14 | |
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 10 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7:17 | 10 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 | |
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7:18 | 5 | |
| 15 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7:16 | 4 | |
| 16 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 8:19 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.