Rudar Pljevlja vs Berane: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Rudar Pljevljavs
BeraneThe model puts Rudar Pljevlja at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Berane (1-4-10).
- +Recent form favours Rudar Pljevlja.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Rudar Pljevlja have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Berane have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rudar Pljevlja have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Rudar Pljevlja is priced at 2.24.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Rudar Pljevlja at 42%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Berane at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Rudar Pljevlja is priced at 2.24. The draw is priced at 3. Berane is priced at 3.245.
Rudar Pljevlja have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Berane have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Rudar Pljevlja have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Berane have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Rudar Pljevlja or Berane?
Our model rates Rudar Pljevlja as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Rudar Pljevlja vs Berane?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 1 Rudar Pljevlja wins, 4 draws, 10 Berane wins.
Odds movement
League table
Montenegro. Second League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FK Podgorica | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 2 |  Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 16 |
| 3 |  Zeta Golubovci | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:7 | 15 |
| 4 |  OFK Grbalj | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 5 |  Iskra Danilovgrad | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:8 | 10 |
| 6 |  Lovcen | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 7 | Rudar Pljevlja | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:14 | 9 |
| 8 |  Mogren | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 9 |  Kom Podgorica | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Berane | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 5:14 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.