Iskra Danilovgrad vs OFK Grbalj: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Iskra Danilovgradvs
OFK GrbaljThe model puts OFK Grbalj at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours OFK Grbalj.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Iskra Danilovgrad have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- OFK Grbalj have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Iskra Danilovgrad have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- OFK Grbalj is priced at 2.52.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Iskra Danilovgrad at 29%. The model puts the draw at 33%. The model puts OFK Grbalj at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Iskra Danilovgrad is priced at 3.045. The draw is priced at 2.75. OFK Grbalj is priced at 2.52.
Iskra Danilovgrad have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. OFK Grbalj have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Iskra Danilovgrad have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. OFK Grbalj have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. OFK Grbalj are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Iskra Danilovgrad or OFK Grbalj?
Our model rates OFK Grbalj as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Iskra Danilovgrad vs OFK Grbalj?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Iskra Danilovgrad wins, 4 draws, 6 OFK Grbalj wins.
Odds movement
League table
Montenegro. Second League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FK Podgorica | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 2 |  Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 16 |
| 3 |  Zeta Golubovci | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:7 | 15 |
| 4 | OFK Grbalj | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Iskra Danilovgrad | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:8 | 10 |
| 6 |  Lovcen | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 7 |  Rudar Pljevlja | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:14 | 9 |
| 8 |  Mogren | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 9 |  Kom Podgorica | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 10 |  Berane | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 5:14 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.