Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachivs
Hapoel HerzliyaThe model puts Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi at 37%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Hapoel Herzliya (0-3-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hapoel Herzliya have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi is priced at 2.539.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi at 37%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Hapoel Herzliya at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi is priced at 2.539. The draw is priced at 3.425. Hapoel Herzliya is priced at 2.724.
Hapoel Herzliya have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi are on 3 wins in a row. Hapoel Herzliya have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 40% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi or Hapoel Herzliya?
Our model rates Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 0 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi wins, 3 draws, 2 Hapoel Herzliya wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
Israel. Liga Alef. South| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 10 |
| 2 |  Shimshon Tel Aviv | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Hapoel Herzliya | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 4 |  MS Dimona | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Jerusalem | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 6 |  Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Holon Yermiyahu | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Sderot FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 9 |  Hapoel Azor | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 10 |  Maccabi Yavne | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 11 |  Ironi Sport Hadera | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 12 |  Irony Bet Shemesh | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 13 |  Kfar Saba 1928 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 14 |  Maccabi Ashdod | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 15 |  Hapoel Marmorek | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 16 |  Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 |
| 17 |  AS Nordia Jerusalem | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2:9 | 0 |
| 18 |  Tzeirey Tira | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.