Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharon: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Shimshon Tel Avivvs
Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharonThe model puts Shimshon Tel Aviv at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Shimshon Tel Aviv have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharon have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Shimshon Tel Aviv have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Shimshon Tel Aviv is priced at 2.275.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Shimshon Tel Aviv at 42%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharon at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Shimshon Tel Aviv is priced at 2.275. The draw is priced at 3.68. Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharon is priced at 2.92.
Shimshon Tel Aviv have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharon have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Shimshon Tel Aviv have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Shimshon Tel Aviv are on 2 wins in a row. Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharon have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharon are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Shimshon Tel Aviv or Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharon?
Our model rates Shimshon Tel Aviv as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharon?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Shimshon Tel Aviv wins, 0 draws, 1 Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharon wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Israel. Liga Alef. South| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 3 |  Hapoel Herzliya | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 4 |  MS Dimona | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Jerusalem | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Holon Yermiyahu | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Sderot FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 9 |  Hapoel Azor | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 10 |  Maccabi Yavne | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 11 |  Ironi Sport Hadera | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 12 |  Irony Bet Shemesh | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 13 |  Kfar Saba 1928 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 14 |  Maccabi Ashdod | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 15 |  Hapoel Marmorek | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 16 |  Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 |
| 17 |  AS Nordia Jerusalem | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2:9 | 0 |
| 18 |  Tzeirey Tira | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.