Dominica vs Guyana: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dominicavs
GuyanaThe model puts Guyana at 68%. The model leans toward Guyana. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Guyana.
- −The head-to-head record favours Dominica (2-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dominica have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Guyana have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dominica have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Guyana is priced at 1.36.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dominica at 12%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Guyana at 68%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Guyana. Dominica is priced at 8.15. The draw is priced at 4.5. Guyana is priced at 1.36.
Dominica have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Dominica have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Guyana have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dominica or Guyana?
Our model rates Guyana as the most likely outcome at 68% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dominica vs Guyana?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 2 Dominica wins, 1 draws, 0 Guyana wins.
League table
CONCACAF Nations League. League B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guyana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Puerto Rico | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Dominica | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | 1 |
| 4 |  Cayman Islands | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.