FS Metta (Women) vs Riga FC (Women): Prediction, Odds & Analysis
FS Metta (Women)vs
Riga FC (Women)The model puts Riga FC (Women) at 84%. The model leans toward Riga FC (Women). Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours FS Metta (Women) (9-0-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- FS Metta (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Riga FC (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- FS Metta (Women) have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Riga FC (Women) is priced at 1.02.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 3 |
| 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | |||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts FS Metta (Women) at 9%. The model puts the draw at 7%. The model puts Riga FC (Women) at 84%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Riga FC (Women). FS Metta (Women) is priced at 21. The draw is priced at 12. Riga FC (Women) is priced at 1.02.
FS Metta (Women) have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings.
FS Metta (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Riga FC (Women) have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 25% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, FS Metta (Women) or Riga FC (Women)?
Our model rates Riga FC (Women) as the most likely outcome at 84% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for FS Metta (Women) vs Riga FC (Women)?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 9 meetings: 9 FS Metta (Women) wins, 0 draws, 0 Riga FC (Women) wins.
League table
Latvia. 1st League. Women| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Riga FC (Women) | 18 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 161:3 | 54 |
| 2 |  Rigas Futbola skola (Women) | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 114:19 | 49 |
| 3 | FS Metta (Women) | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 94:36 | 37 |
| 4 |  Iecava Olaine (Women) | 19 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 54:59 | 24 |
| 5 | Rigas Futbola skola (Women) | 19 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 41:66 | 18 |
| 6 |  Auda (Women) | 20 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 38:77 | 18 |
| 7 |  Rezekne BJSS (Women) | 19 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 2:244 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.