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Hong Kong. Premier League U22

Eastern Sports Club U22 vs Lee Man U22: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Eastern Sports Club U22 Eastern Sports Club U22vsLee Man U22 Lee Man U22
Our predictionEastern Sports Club U22 to win
Model score: Medium · 43/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts Eastern Sports Club U22 at 47%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Eastern Sports Club U2247%
Draw22%
2 · Lee Man U2231%
1 · Eastern Sports Club U22Draw2 · Lee Man U22
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.66+2.1%
O/U 2.5Under 2.52.69+0.5%
1X2Eastern Sports Club U222.05+0.5%
1X2Draw4.28-0.2%
1X2Lee Man U223.02-0.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.00Eastern Sports Club U22
xG
1.32Lee Man U22
Over 2.5 goals65%
Both teams to score63%
Team strength rating
Eastern Sports Club U22
58
Lee Man U22
49

Most likely scorelines

2-19.5%
1-19.5%
2-07.2%
1-07.2%
3-16.4%
2-26.3%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Eastern Sports Club U22 Lee Man U22

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Eastern Sports Club U22 win2.05Fair
Double chanceEastern Sports Club U22 or draw—Info
Total goalsOver 2.51.44Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
04531
171063
271063
35642
4232
51

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Eastern Sports Club U22 at 47%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Lee Man U22 at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market leans toward Eastern Sports Club U22. Eastern Sports Club U22 is priced at 2.05. The draw is priced at 4.28. Lee Man U22 is priced at 3.015.

The model gives 63% for both teams to score. The model gives 65% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Eastern Sports Club U22 or Lee Man U22?

Our model rates Eastern Sports Club U22 as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Eastern Sports Club U22 vs Lee Man U22?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.