Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hapoel Ironi Arrabavs
Hapoel Migdal HaEmekThe model puts Hapoel Migdal HaEmek at 77%. The model leans toward Hapoel Migdal HaEmek. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Hapoel Migdal HaEmek.
- +The head-to-head record favours Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (0-0-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Hapoel Ironi Arraba have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek is priced at 1.23.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 4 |
| 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hapoel Ironi Arraba at 9%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Hapoel Migdal HaEmek at 77%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Hapoel Migdal HaEmek. Hapoel Ironi Arraba is priced at 11.5. The draw is priced at 6.35. Hapoel Migdal HaEmek is priced at 1.23.
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Hapoel Ironi Arraba have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 39% for both teams to score. The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hapoel Ironi Arraba or Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
Our model rates Hapoel Migdal HaEmek as the most likely outcome at 77% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba wins, 0 draws, 3 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
Israel. Liga Alef. North| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Beitar Nahariya | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 12 |
| 2 |  Ironi Nesher | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 10 |
| 3 |  Maccabi Kiryat-Ata Bialik | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 10 |
| 4 |  Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:3 | 8 |
| 5 |  MS Tira | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:2 | 8 |
| 6 |  Hapoel Nof HaGalil | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 7 |  Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 8 |  Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al-Gharbiyye | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 4 |
| 10 |  Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 11 |  Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:9 | 3 |
| 12 |  Maccabi Neve Sha'anan Eldad | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 13 |  Tzeirey Tamra | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 14 |  Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | 2 |
| 15 |  Tzeirey Umm El Fahm | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 2 |
| 16 |  Hapoel Bnei Jat | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5:11 | 1 |
| 17 |  Hapoel Beit Shean Mesilot | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1:13 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.