Dominican Republic vs Haiti: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dominican Republicvs
HaitiThe model puts Haiti at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dominican Republic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Haiti have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dominican Republic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Haiti is priced at 2.25.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dominican Republic at 32%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Haiti at 41%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Dominican Republic is priced at 2.874. The draw is priced at 3.48. Haiti is priced at 2.25.
Dominican Republic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Haiti have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Dominican Republic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Dominican Republic are on 2 wins in a row. Haiti have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Haiti are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dominican Republic or Haiti?
Our model rates Haiti as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dominican Republic vs Haiti?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Dominican Republic wins, 0 draws, 1 Haiti wins.
Odds movement
League table
CONCACAF Nations League. League A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Curacao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Haiti | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Dominican Republic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trinidad and Tobago | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 5 |  Costa Rica | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:6 | 0 |
| 6 |  Nicaragua | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.