El Nasr Taadeen vs Aswan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
El Nasr Taadeenvs
AswanThe model puts Aswan at 54%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Aswan is priced at 1.744.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts El Nasr Taadeen at 23%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Aswan at 54%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Aswan. El Nasr Taadeen is priced at 4.3. The draw is priced at 4.02. Aswan is priced at 1.744.
The model gives 54% for both teams to score. The model gives 54% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, El Nasr Taadeen or Aswan?
Our model rates Aswan as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for El Nasr Taadeen vs Aswan?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.