Al-Nasr S.C. vs Samail: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Al-Nasr S.C.vs
SamailThe model puts Al-Nasr S.C. at 53%. The model leans toward Al-Nasr S.C.. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Al-Nasr S.C. (1-2-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Al-Nasr S.C. have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Samail have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Al-Nasr S.C. have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Al-Nasr S.C. is priced at 1.81.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Al-Nasr S.C. at 53%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Samail at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Al-Nasr S.C.. Al-Nasr S.C. is priced at 1.81. The draw is priced at 4.12. Samail is priced at 3.86.
Al-Nasr S.C. have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Al-Nasr S.C. have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Samail have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 54% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Al-Nasr S.C. or Samail?
Our model rates Al-Nasr S.C. as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Al-Nasr S.C. vs Samail?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Al-Nasr S.C. wins, 2 draws, 0 Samail wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
Oman Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bahla Club | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:2 | 7 |
| 2 |  Dhofar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 3 |  Sur Club | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 4 |  Fanja | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 5 |  Oman Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 6 | Samail | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6:10 | 1 |
| 7 | Al-Nasr S.C. | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:8 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.