Sheppey United vs Chertsey Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sheppey Unitedvs
Chertsey TownThe model puts Chertsey Town at 55%. The model leans toward Chertsey Town. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sheppey United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Chertsey Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sheppey United have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Chertsey Town is priced at 1.715.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Sheppey United at 24%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Chertsey Town at 55%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Chertsey Town. Sheppey United is priced at 4.02. The draw is priced at 4.5. Chertsey Town is priced at 1.715.
Sheppey United have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Sheppey United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Sheppey United are on 2 wins in a row. Chertsey Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sheppey United or Chertsey Town?
Our model rates Chertsey Town as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sheppey United vs Chertsey Town?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Sheppey United wins, 0 draws, 0 Chertsey Town wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.