Worksop Town vs United of Manchester: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Worksop Townvs
United of ManchesterThe model puts Worksop Town at 56%. The model leans toward Worksop Town. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours United of Manchester.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Worksop Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- United of Manchester have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Worksop Town have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Worksop Town is priced at 1.615.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Worksop Town at 56%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts United of Manchester at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Worksop Town. Worksop Town is priced at 1.615. The draw is priced at 5. United of Manchester is priced at 4.28.
Worksop Town have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. United of Manchester have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Worksop Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. United of Manchester have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. United of Manchester are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Worksop Town or United of Manchester?
Our model rates Worksop Town as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Worksop Town vs United of Manchester?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 13 meetings: 5 Worksop Town wins, 2 draws, 6 United of Manchester wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.