Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Leatherheadvs
Hanworth VillaThe model puts Leatherhead at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Leatherhead.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Leatherhead have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Hanworth Villa have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Leatherhead is priced at 2.29.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Leatherhead at 41%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Hanworth Villa at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Leatherhead is priced at 2.29. The draw is priced at 4.02. Hanworth Villa is priced at 2.72.
Leatherhead have 1 wins in their last 3 matches. Hanworth Villa have 2 wins in their last 3 matches. Hanworth Villa are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 62% for both teams to score. The model gives 61% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Leatherhead or Hanworth Villa?
Our model rates Leatherhead as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Leatherhead vs Hanworth Villa?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.