Macclesfield Town vs Scarborough Athletic: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Macclesfield Townvs
Scarborough AthleticThe model puts Macclesfield Town at 52%. The model leans toward Macclesfield Town. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Macclesfield Town.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Macclesfield Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Scarborough Athletic have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Macclesfield Town is priced at 1.875.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Macclesfield Town at 52%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Scarborough Athletic at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Macclesfield Town. Macclesfield Town is priced at 1.875. The draw is priced at 4.02. Scarborough Athletic is priced at 3.68.
The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Macclesfield Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Macclesfield Town are on 2 wins in a row. Scarborough Athletic have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Macclesfield Town or Scarborough Athletic?
Our model rates Macclesfield Town as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Macclesfield Town vs Scarborough Athletic?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 0 Macclesfield Town wins, 3 draws, 0 Scarborough Athletic wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
Scarborough Athletic make it count (Mo Fadera (42'), Luke Hall (44')). It's 0–2 at this point.
Half-time score: Macclesfield Town 0 – 2 Scarborough Athletic.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (0–2)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–2)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.