Marine vs Warrington Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Marinevs
Warrington TownThe model puts Marine at 55%. The model leans toward Marine. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Marine.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Marine have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Warrington Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Marine have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Marine is priced at 1.768.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Marine at 55%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Warrington Town at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Marine. Marine is priced at 1.768. The draw is priced at 4.02. Warrington Town is priced at 4.2.
Marine have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Warrington Town have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Marine have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Marine are on 3 wins in a row. Warrington Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Marine or Warrington Town?
Our model rates Marine as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Marine vs Warrington Town?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 12 meetings: 4 Marine wins, 3 draws, 5 Warrington Town wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
Marine make it count (Drysdale (24')). It's 1–0 at this point.
Half-time score: Marine 1 – 0 Warrington Town.
Marine make it count (Wardle (56')). It's 2–0 at this point.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (2–0)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.