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England. FA Cup

Ebbsfleet United vs Sholing: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet UnitedvsSholing Sholing
Our predictionEbbsfleet United to win
Model score: High · 83/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Ebbsfleet United at 70%. The model leans toward Ebbsfleet United. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Ebbsfleet United70%
Draw18%
2 · Sholing13%
1 · Ebbsfleet UnitedDraw2 · Sholing
Full team comparison →
Team strength rating
Ebbsfleet United
72
Sholing
43

Expected goals

1.48Ebbsfleet United
xG
0.37Sholing
Over 2.5 goals28%
Both teams to score24%

Recent form

Ebbsfleet United
SholingWDL

Most likely scorelines

1-023.3%
2-017.2%
0-015.7%
1-18.6%
3-08.5%
2-16.4%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Ebbsfleet United Sholing

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Ebbsfleet United win1.37Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
01661
12392
21761
383
431
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Ebbsfleet United1.37+0.3%
1X2Sholing7.30-0.1%
1X2Draw5.35-0.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Ebbsfleet United at 70%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Sholing at 13%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Ebbsfleet United. Ebbsfleet United is priced at 1.37. The draw is priced at 5.35. Sholing is priced at 7.3.

Sholing have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.

The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 28% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Ebbsfleet United or Sholing?

Our model rates Ebbsfleet United as the most likely outcome at 70% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Ebbsfleet United vs Sholing?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

13.1310.117.104.091.08
Home 5.15 Draw 3.19 Away 1.78

Match statistics

Дэн Ogunleye⚽20'
40'⚽Higgs

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'0–0

Cautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)

15–45'1–1

An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Дэн Ogunleye (20'), Higgs (40')). Score moves to 1–1.

20'⚽Дэн Ogunleye40'⚽Higgs
Half-time

Half-time score: Ebbsfleet United 1 – 1 Sholing.

45–75'1–1

The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–1)

75–90'+1–1

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–1)

Full time: Ebbsfleet United 1 – 1 Sholing

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.