Ebbsfleet United vs Sholing: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Ebbsfleet United at 70%. The model leans toward Ebbsfleet United. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Sholing have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Ebbsfleet United is priced at 1.37.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 23 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 4 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Ebbsfleet United at 70%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Sholing at 13%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Ebbsfleet United. Ebbsfleet United is priced at 1.37. The draw is priced at 5.35. Sholing is priced at 7.3.
Sholing have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 28% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ebbsfleet United or Sholing?
Our model rates Ebbsfleet United as the most likely outcome at 70% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ebbsfleet United vs Sholing?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Дэн Ogunleye (20'), Higgs (40')). Score moves to 1–1.
Half-time score: Ebbsfleet United 1 – 1 Sholing.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–1)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–1)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.