Kettering Town vs Worcester City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kettering Townvs
Worcester CityThe model puts Kettering Town at 54%. The model leans toward Kettering Town. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Kettering Town.
- +The head-to-head record favours Kettering Town (5-3-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kettering Town have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Worcester City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kettering Town have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Kettering Town is priced at 1.885.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kettering Town at 54%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Worcester City at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Kettering Town. Kettering Town is priced at 1.885. The draw is priced at 4.18. Worcester City is priced at 3.52.
Kettering Town have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Worcester City have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Kettering Town have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Worcester City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kettering Town or Worcester City?
Our model rates Kettering Town as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kettering Town vs Worcester City?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 10 meetings: 5 Kettering Town wins, 3 draws, 2 Worcester City wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.